Following the dominant showings by Widow’s Bay, The Pitt, and DTF St. Louis over the weekend at the Creative Arts Emmys, all three programs are now surging in Gold Derby’s Primetime Emmy predictions.
Here’s a closer look at every Emmy nominee that has risen in the Gold Derby odds in the past 36 hours. We’ve included graphs to visualize which contenders are gaining the most ground.
COMEDY
Apple TV’s breakout horror-comedy claimed eight Emmys on Sunday: guest actress (Betty Gilpin), casting, cinematography, music composition, music supervision, production design, sound editing, and sound mixing. Widow’s Bay is eligible in six more categories at Monday’s main ceremony, and has experienced double-digit gains for series, supporting actress (Kate O’Flynn), and directing. If Widow’s Bay wins all six Emmys, its total of 14 would beat the single-year comedy record set by The Studio last year.
Best Comedy Series
Widow’s Bay up 16%
Best Comedy Actress
Jean Smart (Hacks) up 2%
Best Comedy Actor
Matthew Rhys (Widow’s Bay) up 2%
Best Comedy Supporting Actress
Kate O’Flynn (Widow’s Bay) up 17%
Best Comedy Supporting Actor
Stephen Root (Widow’s Bay) up 9%
Best Comedy Directing
Widow’s Bay (“Welcome to Widow’s Bay”) up 18%
Best Comedy Writing
Widow’s Bay (“Welcome to Widow’s Bay”) up 5%
DRAMA
Reigning drama winner The Pitt added four trophies over the weekend: guest actor (Ernest Harden Jr.), casting, music and lyrics (“Need Someone”), and prosthetic makeup. Season 2 of HBO Max’s medical drama has six more chances to win next week, and it’s trending upward in five of those races: series, lead actor (Noah Wyle), supporting actress (Katherine LaNasa), supporting actor (both Patrick Ball and Shawn Hatosy), and directing.
Best Drama Series
The Pitt up 1%
Best Drama Actress
Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) up 2%
Best Drama Actor
Noah Wyle (The Pitt) up 1%
Best Drama Supporting Actress
Katherine LaNasa (The Pitt) up 5%
Best Drama Supporting Actor
Patrick Ball (The Pitt) up 1%
Shawn Hatosy (The Pitt) up 1%
Billy Crudup (The Morning Show) up 1%
Carlos-Manuel Vesga (Pluribus) up 1%
Best Drama Directing
The Pitt (“12:00 P.M.”) up 3%
Best Drama Writing
Slow Horses (“Scars”) up 1%
OTHER
Nearly all the awards for the limited series/TV movie genre were handed out over the weekend, save for series, lead actor, and lead actress. HBO’s DTF St. Louis jumped 29% in Best Limited Series — the biggest gain of the week — thanks to its half-dozen wins for supporting actress (Linda Cardellini), supporting actor (David Harbour), directing, writing, cinematography, and picture editing.
Best Limited Series
DTF St. Louis up 29%
Best Limited/Movie Actress
Sarah Pidgeon (Love Story) up 9%
Sally Field (Remarkably Bright Creatures) up 2%
Best Limited/Movie Actor
Matthew Rhys (The Beast in Me) up 3%
Jason Bateman (Black Rabbit) up 1%
Best Competition Program
The Traitors up 3%
Best Variety Series*
The Late Show With Stephen Colbert up 2%
*This category is an “area award” this year, meaning all nominees who receive 90% “yes” votes from Television Academy members will earn Emmys. The Late Show is rising in our users’ odds after five wins last weekend, and is the only nominee currently predicted to win.
The 2026 Primetime Emmys will be presented Sept. 14 on NBC.
