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Home»Awards & Events»Spider-Man Brand New Day box office: Labor Day weekend predictions
Awards & Events

Spider-Man Brand New Day box office: Labor Day weekend predictions

Williams MBy Williams MSeptember 3, 2026No Comments4 Mins Read
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Labor Day is notoriously quiet at the box office, and it looks like Peter Parker will be swinging into another easy first-place finish. Make it six in a row.

Spider-Man: Brand New Day should win the four-day holiday weekend with around $22 million. That’s six straight weekends at No. 1, which no movie has managed since Avatar: The Way of Water held for seven in 2022. Destin Daniel Cretton’s sequel sits at $896.4 million domestic and will cross $900 million this week — a feat only Star Wars: The Force Awakens achieved in 2015. Brand New Day is fast approaching that film’s all-time domestic record of $936.66 million, but its streak at No. 1 ends next weekend, when Sandra Bullock and Nicole Kidman conjure up a new box-office champ with Practical Magic 2.

A scene from 'Coyote vs. Acme'

The Odyssey holds on for second with about $15 million in its eighth weekend. Christopher Nolan’s epic fell only 27% last weekend to $14.4 million. At $568 million domestic, it’s about to pass The Super Mario Bros. Movie ($574.9 million) for 18th all time. Universal is keeping it on Imax 70mm screens through September, which is a big reason it keeps refusing to drop.

Coyote vs. Acme lands third with roughly $14 million. Ketchup Entertainment’s rescue of the Looney Tunes movie Warner Bros. shelved opened to $15.9 million, the biggest debut in the distributor’s history, and audiences handed it an “A” CinemaScore.

Fourth should go to Insidious: Out of the Further with about $7 million. The Sony and Blumhouse sequel is at $46 million domestic heading into its third weekend, and its 59% second-weekend drop to $10.2 million was a better hold than either Insidious: Chapter 2 or The Red Door managed.

Rounding out the top five is Cars with around $6 million. Disney and Pixar are re-releasing the 2006 original for its 20th anniversary, and it should draw families over the long weekend now that most of the country is back in school.

Just outside is Paramount’s By Any Means at roughly $5.5 million, with Mark Wahlberg as a mob hitman turned FBI informant and Yahya Abdul-Mateen II as the agent working him. A24’s Onslaught, Adam Wingard’s follow-up to The Guest, is looking at about $3 million. Lionsgate’s Fall 2: Deadpoint opened Wednesday, Sony and Crunchyroll have a 4K reissue of Akira, Fathom is running all five Hunger Games movies, and Trafalgar has Katy Perry: The Lifetimes Tour — Live from Paris.

Here are Gold Derby’s predicted box-office rankings for the top five over the Sept. 4-7 weekend:

  1. Spider-Man: Brand New Day — $22 million
  2. The Odyssey — $15 million
  3. Coyote vs. Acme — $14 million
  4. Insidious: Out of the Further — $7 million
  5. Cars — $6 million

Check back Monday for actuals and how they stacked up against our predictions.

New releases

By Any Means
Director: Elegance Bratton
Distributor: Paramount Pictures
A notorious mafia hitman and a young Black FBI agent team up to investigate the murders of civil rights leaders in 1966 Mississippi. The crime-thriller has a running time of one hour, 47 minutes, and is rated R. By Any Means is certified “fresh” with a 74% score per the aggregated critic reviews at Rotten Tomatoes; “mixed” reviews compiled by Metacritic resulted in an overall score of 56.

Onslaught
Director: Adam Wingard
Distributor: A24
When a rogue squad of genetically engineered super soldiers break loose in the desert, a badass Army sniper must unleash hell to protect her young daughter. The sci-fi thriller has a running time of one hour, 32 minutes, and is rated R. Onslaught is certified “fresh” with a 60% score per the aggregated critic reviews at Rotten Tomatoes; “mixed” reviews compiled by Metacritic resulted in an overall score of 60.

Fall 2: Deadpoint
Director: Michael Spierig and Peter Spierig
Distributor: Lionsgate
Grieving her sister Shiloh’s death, Jax Hunter bonds with Shiloh’s bold friend Luce. Together they tackle dangerous Mount Kwan in Thailand. When a rockslide traps them on a narrow plank 4,000 feet up, Jax must face her fears to survive. The adventure-thriller has a running time of one hour, 38 minutes, and is rated PG-13. Fall 2: Deadpoint is certified “rotten” with a 47% score per the aggregated critic reviews at Rotten Tomatoes; “mixed” reviews compiled by Metacritic resulted in an overall score of 53.

Katy Perry: The Lifetimes Tour — Live from Paris
Director: Paul Dugdale
Distributor: Trafalgar Releasing
Blends powerhouse performances, exhilarating cinematography, and intimate moments to bring audiences into the spectacular world of Katy Perry. The concert documentary has a running time of two hours, 12 minutes, and is not rated. The Lifetimes Tour is certified “fresh” with a 70% score per the aggregated critic reviews at Rotten Tomatoes.

Matt Damon in The Odyssey

2026 box-office hits: Every movie that made more than $100 million

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