Making wildly ambitious films that become equally successful hits are the first two parts of a Christopher Nolan magic trick. And if his latest blockbuster, The Odyssey, is anything like his previous hit, Oppenheimer, that Prestige-style third act come awards season will be something to behold.
Nolan and The Odyssey have been major contenders in the 2027 Oscar race since the film was first put on Universal’s calendar. But now the ecstatic reviews and mythic box-office totals are combining to turn the film into a potential Oscar juggernaut. As we noted last week, the film has a legitimate path to top Sinners‘ record of 16 nominations. After the movie’s opening weekend, the top categories are mostly unchanged, but there is some movement. Here’s a look at where things stand.
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The Adventures of Cliff Booth
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The Only Living Pickpocket in New York
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The Wizard of the Kremlin
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Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
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Gentle Monster
Netflix
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Her Private Hell
Neon
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Lukas Dhont
Swan Gallet/WWD
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The Uprising
Focus
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LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 21: Mike Leigh, Lesley Manville, Ruth Sheen, Marion Bailey and Justin Johnson attend the screening and Q&A of Mike Leigh’s “All or Nothing” at BFI Southbank on November 21, 2021 in London, England. (Photo by Nicky J Sims/Getty Images for the BFI)
Nicky J Sims/Getty Images
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The Get Out
Vertical
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Ha-Chan
SPC
Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty!
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PARK CITY, UTAH – JANUARY 24: (L-R) Eleanor Wilson and Alex Huston Fischer attend the “Wicker” Premiere during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival at Eccles Center Theater on January 24, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images)
Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images
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AUSTIN, TEXAS – MARCH 17: Fernando Meirelles attends the “Beast Race (Corrida dos Bichos)” premiere during 2026 SXSW Conference and Festival at The Paramount Theatre on March 17, 2026 in Austin, Texas. (Photo by Erika Goldring/Getty Images)
Erika Goldring/Getty Images
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Poetic License
Row K
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In the Hand of Dante
Netflix
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Pressure
Focus
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Mother Mary
A24
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Bitter Christmas
Warner Bros.
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The Dog Stars
20th Century
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Couture
Vertical
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Gail Daughtry
SPC
Gail Daughtry and the Celebrity Sex Pass
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PARK CITY, UTAH – JANUARY 26: Stephanie Ahn attends the 29th Annual SAGindie Filmmakers Luncheon at Sundance at Cafe Terigo on January 26, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Fred Hayes/Getty Images for SAGindie)
Fred Hayes/Getty Images
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Never After Dark
Magnolia
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Harmonia
Bleecker Street
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Forgotten Island
DreamWorks
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Brian Cox
Andrew Morales for Variety
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The Weight
Vertical
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HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA – MARCH 10: Arthur Harari and Justine Triet, winners of Original Screenplay award for ‘Anatomy of Fall’ pose in the press room during the 96th Annual Academy Awards at Ovation Hollywood on March 10, 2024 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images)
Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images
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PARK CITY, UTAH – JANUARY 20: Anton Corbijn attends Stacy’s Roots to Rise Market at the 2023 Sundance Film Festival in Park City, UT on January 20, 2023. (Photo by Presley Ann/Getty Images for Stacy’s Pita Chips)
Presley Ann/Getty Images
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Hope
Neon
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The Christophers
Neon
In Gold Derby’s expert-only odds for Best Picture, The Odyssey is currently tied with Digger and Project Hail Mary as the most likely films to receive nominations. Already the frontrunner for director, Nolan has extended his lead in the odds over Digger‘s Alejandro G. Iñárritu, with all experts expecting him to take one of the five slots.
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Javier Ambrossi, Javier Calvo
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Phil Lord, Christopher Miller
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Alex Huston Fischer, Eleanor Wilson
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LES ARCS, FRANCE – DECEMBER 14: Alice Winocour attends the Couture Photocall during Day Two of Les Arcs Film Festival on December 14, 2025 in Les Arcs, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
Aurore Marechal/Getty Images
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PARIS, FRANCE – JANUARY 13: Olivier Assayas attends the “Le Mage Du Kremlin” Premiere at Cinematheque Francaise on January 13, 2026 in Paris, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
Aurore Marechal/Getty Images
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CANNES, FRANCE – MAY 17: Chuko Esiri and Arie Esiri during an interview and portrait session for “Clarissa” during the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at CBeach on May 17, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)
Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images
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Guy Nattiv
John Salangsang/Variety
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LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 21: Mike Leigh, Lesley Manville, Ruth Sheen, Marion Bailey and Justin Johnson attend the screening and Q&A of Mike Leigh’s “All or Nothing” at BFI Southbank on November 21, 2021 in London, England. (Photo by Nicky J Sims/Getty Images for the BFI)
Nicky J Sims/Getty Images
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PARK CITY, UTAH – JANUARY 26: Stephanie Ahn attends the 29th Annual SAGindie Filmmakers Luncheon at Sundance at Cafe Terigo on January 26, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Fred Hayes/Getty Images for SAGindie)
Fred Hayes/Getty Images
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PARK CITY, UTAH – JANUARY 22: Josef Kubota Wladyka attends the “Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty” Premiere at Eccles Center Theater during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival on January 22, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Neilson Barnard/Getty Images)
Neilson Barnard/Getty Images
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PARK CITY, UTAH – JANUARY 25: (L-R) Julia Jones, Ethan Hawke, Padraic McKinley and Austin Amelio attend The Vulture Spot At The 2026 Sundance Film Festivalon January 25, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Robin Marchant/Getty Images for Vulture)
Robin Marchant/Getty Images
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Pedro Almodovar
Michael Buckner/Variety
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LONDON, ENGLAND – JUNE 18: Danny Boyle attends the World Premiere of 28 YEARS LATER at Odeon Luxe in Leicester Square on Wednesday 18 June 2025. The film will be released only in cinemas from 19 June 2025 on June 18, 2025 in London, England. (Photo by Tim P. Whitby/Getty Images)
Tim P. Whitby/Getty Images
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Ridley Scott
Stewart Cook/Variety
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CANNES, FRANCE – MAY 16: Marie Kreutzer poses during the “Gentle Monster” photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 16, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Andreas Rentz/Getty Images)
Andreas Rentz/Getty Images
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Brian Cox
Andrew Morales for Variety
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PARK CITY, UTAH – JANUARY 27: Noah Segan attends “The Only Living Pickpocket In New York” Premiere during the 2026 Sundance Film Festival at Eccles Center Theater on January 27, 2026 in Park City, Utah. (Photo by Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images)
Dia Dipasupil/Getty Images
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Michael Showalter
Clint Spaulding
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HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA – MARCH 10: Arthur Harari and Justine Triet, winners of Original Screenplay award for ‘Anatomy of Fall’ pose in the press room during the 96th Annual Academy Awards at Ovation Hollywood on March 10, 2024 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images)
Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JUNE 17: Nicolas Winding Refn attends the premiere of Hideo Kojima: Connecting Worlds during the 2023 Tribeca Festival at Spring Studios on June 17, 2023 in New York City. (Photo by John Lamparski/Getty Images for Tribeca Festival)
John Lamparski/Getty Images
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BERLIN, GERMANY – FEBRUARY 17: Director Matt Johnson poses at the “BlackBerry” photocall during the 73rd Berlinale International Film Festival Berlin at Grand Hyatt Hotel on February 17, 2023 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Gerald Matzka/Getty Images)
Gerald Matzka/Getty Images
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PARK CITY, UTAH – JANUARY 20: Anton Corbijn attends Stacy’s Roots to Rise Market at the 2023 Sundance Film Festival in Park City, UT on January 20, 2023. (Photo by Presley Ann/Getty Images for Stacy’s Pita Chips)
Presley Ann/Getty Images
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Kent Jones
Michael Buckner/Variety
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Never After Dark
Magnolia
Odysseus himself, Matt Damon, has made big gains with experts. The three-time Oscar nominee has jumped 19 percentage points, making him the second-most-likely nominee after Tom Cruise for Digger. The rest of the predicting community is slightly cooler on Damon’s chances, though, placing him at around 58 percent with a seven point increase.
Expect that number to climb as The Odyssey continues to leg it out at the box office, though. The most radical aspects of Nolan’s take on the material stem directly from Odysseus, and add to his complexity and interiority as a character — a charge Damon takes on heroically.
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CANNES, FRANCE – MAY 23: Charles Melton attends Chopard ART Evening at the Martinez on May 23, 2023 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Pascal Le Segretain/Getty Images for Chopard)
Pascal Le Segretain/Getty Images
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Josh Brolin
Michael Buckner/Deadline
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CANNES, FRANCE – MAY 20: Leonardo Sbaraglia poses during the “Amarga Navidad” (Bitter Christmas) photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 20, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Hoda Davaine/Getty Images)
Hoda Davaine/Getty Images
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CANNES, FRANCE – MAY 18: Hwang Jung-min poses during the “Hope” photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 18, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
Aurore Marechal/Getty Images
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Alan Cumming
Jean François Ottonello/PHOTOPQR/NICE MATIN/MAXPPP/Newscom/The Mega Agency
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Brian Cox
Andrew Morales for Variety
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Jack O’Connell
Mario Mitsis / Avalon/Newscom/The Mega Agency
Two other performances are benefitting greatly from people having seen more than just the trailer. John Leguizamo‘s role as Eumaeus and two-time previous nominee Samantha Morton as Circe did not factor heavily into The Odyssey‘s marketing campaign, but the actors have received the biggest bumps from the large cast in predictions from all Gold Derby members.
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Alicia Vikander
Stephen Lovekin/WWD
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WEST HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 09: Charlize Theron attends the 2024 Baby2Baby Gala at Pacific Design Center on November 09, 2024 in West Hollywood, California. (Photo by Monica Schipper/Getty Images)
Monica Schipper/Getty Images
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Claire Foy
Brian To/Variety
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Elizabeth Debicki
David Vintiner for Variety
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BERLIN, GERMANY – FEBRUARY 17: Julia Jones poses at the “The Weight” photocall during the 76th Berlinale International Film Festival Berlin at Grand Hyatt Hotel on February 17, 2026 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Sebastian Reuter/Getty Images)
Sebastian Reuter/Getty Images
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Fiona Shaw
David Buchan/Variety
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Hunter Schafer
Chelsea Lauren/WWD
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Gal Gadot
Chelsea Lauren/WWD
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Lily James
Giovanni Giannoni for WWD
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CANNES, FRANCE – MAY 16: Catherine Deneuve poses during the “Gentle Monster” photocall at the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 16, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Kate Green/Getty Images)
Kate Green/Getty Images
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LONDON, ENGLAND – JULY 10: Jessica Gunning attends The South Bank Sky Arts Awards 2022 at The Savoy Hotel on July 10, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Jeff Spicer/Getty Images)
Jeff Spicer/Getty Images
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CANNES, FRANCE – MAY 19: Victoria Luengo departs the “Amarga Navidad” (Bitter Christmas) screening during the 79th annual Cannes Film Festival at Palais des Festivals on May 19, 2026 in Cannes, France. (Photo by Aurore Marechal/Getty Images)
Aurore Marechal/Getty Images
Morton climbed an impressive 25 percent in the expert odds, but is still sitting outside of nomination range (for now) in eighth place. The actress has received two Oscar nominations in the past; a Best Supporting Actress nod for 1999’s Sweet and Lowdown, and a Best Actress nod for 2003’s In America.
The major question in terms of Morton’s journey to the Oscars will be whether Anne Hathaway (currently ranking first with the experts) ultimately runs in lead or supporting. Her turn as Penelope is significant enough to make the argument for Best Actress and that move would open up the lane for an additional acting nomination. Until there’s official word from Universal, the part does fit the supporting bill.
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Jason Momoa
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Guy Pearce
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BERLIN, GERMANY – MAY 29: August Diehl arrives for the 76th Lola German Film Award at Palais am Funkturm on May 29, 2026 in Berlin, Germany. (Photo by Gerald Matzka/Getty Images)
Gerald Matzka/Getty Images
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK – JUNE 11: Gerard Butler attends the “How To Train Your Dragon” premiere during the 2025 Tribeca Festival at SVA Theater on June 11, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images for Tribeca Festival)
Jamie McCarthy/Getty Images
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Damian Lewis
Clint Spaulding/Variety
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Chris Messina
Kathy Hutchins / Hutchins Photo/Newscom/The Mega Agency
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Al Pacino
Marco Grob/Variety
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Toheeb Jimoh
Frazer Harrison/Getty Images
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Benedict Wong
JIM RUYMEN/UPI/Newscom/The Mega Agency
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David Buchan for Variety
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LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA – SEPTEMBER 08: Cooper Hoffman arrives at the Los Angeles Special Screening Of Lionsgate’s “The Long Walk” at The Egyptian Theatre Hollywood on September 08, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images)
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LONDON, ENGLAND – SEPTEMBER 27: Frank Dillane during the BFI Presents “Urchin” Preview & Q&A at BFI Southbank on September 27, 2025 in London, England. (Photo by Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images for BFI)
Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images
Leguizamo is in a similar place, although he’s more of a presence — and an emotional foundation — throughout the movie as opposed to her memorable one-scene performance. The actor jumped 7 percentage points in the combined odds, rising from almost zero, which just goes to show how unexpected the turn is from the comedian and actor. Leguizamo has never been nominated for an Oscar, but does boast an Emmy win for Best Performance in a Variety Special for 1999’s Freak. His challenge will be to leapfrog two castmates with meatier roles: Robert Pattinson (No. 7 in the combined odds) and Tom Holland (No. 8).
Don’t get freaked out by his current placement. Leguizamo’s chances seem destined to climb as users update their picks — and The Odyssey continues to sell out Imax screenings.
