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Home»Awards & Events»Does The Pitt getting most nominations mean it has best chance to win?
Awards & Events

Does The Pitt getting most nominations mean it has best chance to win?

Williams MBy Williams MJuly 10, 2026No Comments3 Mins Read
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HBO Max had the bragging rights on Wednesday, as its series The Pitt and Hacks dominated their respective races. The Noah Wyle-led hospital drama topped all series with 25 nominations, while the swan-song season of Jean Smart’s comedy series scored a record 24 nods.

The proliferation of nominations traditionally indicates support across the Television Academy’s various branches. But how often do the shows with the most nominations actually go wire-to-wire and convert that momentum into the Best Series prize?

Twenty-four hours after the nominations were unveiled, both The Pitt and Hacks are leading the early Gold Derby predictions, which is a good indication of their strength. But there’s also some historical data in their favor.

Little House on the Prairie. Alice Halsey as Laura Ingalls in episode 101 of Little House on the Prairie. Cr. Eric Zachanowich/Netflix © 2026

An analysis of the past decade’s worth of Emmy ceremonies reveals that the drama with the most nominations has won Best Drama Series eight of 10 years, while the leading comedy has a slightly iffier path, only claiming Best Comedy Series 50% of the time.

Here’s a deep dive into the numbers.

BEST DRAMA SERIES

The Pitt‘s 25 nods were a dozen more than Season 1 in 2025, when the show finished well behind Severance (27 nominations) in the overall tally, but still wound up winning Best Drama Series. That was the first instance since Westworld in 2017 that the most-nominated drama failed to claim the series race.

Aside from The Pitt, here are the other shows that made the cut this year: Pluribus (18 nominations); A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms (nine), Slow Horses (nine), The Gilded Age (eight), The Diplomat (seven), Paradise (seven), and Your Friends & Neighbors (one).

In the past 10 years, here are the eight eventual Best Drama Series victors that went into their ceremonies with the most drama nominations:

  • Shōgun (25 noms) in 2024
  • Succession (27 noms) in 2023
  • Succession (25 noms) in 2022
  • The Crown (24 noms) in 2021 — tied with The Mandalorian
  • Succession (18 noms) in 2020 — tied with Ozark
  • Game of Thrones (32 noms) in 2019
  • Game of Thrones (22 noms) in 2018
  • Game of Thrones (23 noms) in 2016

Drama Series

1.

The Pitt

2.

Pluribus

3.

The Diplomat

4.

A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms

A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms

5.

The Gilded Age

6.

Slow Horses

7.

Paradise

8.

Your Friends and Neighbors

Your Friends and Neighbors

BEST COMEDY SERIES

Jean Smart and Hannah Einbinder in the 'Hacks' finale
Jean Smart and Hannah Einbinder in the finale of ‘Hacks’HBO Max

For comedies, Hacks racked up two dozen total nominations, an all-time record for a comedy and one more than The Studio collected last year on its way to Best Comedy Series.

Here’s how the other Best Comedy Series contenders netted out: Widow’s Bay (18 nominations), Shrinking (10), The Bear (eight), Margo’s Got Money Troubles (eight), Abbott Elementary (seven), Only Murders in the Building (five), and Nobody Wants This (two).

Comedy Series

1.

Hacks

2.

Widow's Bay

3.

Abbott Elementary

4.

The Bear

5.

Only Murders in the Building

Only Murders in the Building

6.

Shrinking

7.

Margo's Got Money Trouble

Margo’s Got Money Troubles

8.

Nobody Wants This

But unlike Drama Series, nomination haul isn’t as reliable an indicator for Comedy Series. In fact, Hacks’ previous win for Best Comedy Series came in 2024, when it finished behind The Bear in total nods.

Here are the five examples in the past 10 years where the comedy with the most nominations ended up winning Best Comedy Series:

  • The Studio (23 nominations) in 2025
  • Ted Lasso (20 noms) in 2022
  • Ted Lasso (20 noms) in 2021
  • Veep (17 noms) in 2017
  • Veep (16 noms) in 2016

Ted Lasso lost to The Bear in 2023; The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel lost to Schitt’s Creek in 2020; The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel lost to Fleabag in 2019; and Atlanta lost to The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel in 2018.

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Does The Pitt getting most nominations mean it has best chance to win?

By Williams MJuly 10, 2026

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