It’s time to update your 2026 Emmys predictions — stat!
Gold Derby has confirmed that The Pitt scene-stealer Shawn Hatosy is jumping from Best Drama Guest Actor to Best Drama Supporting Actor for Season 2. The Emmy move is a surprise considering Hatosy won the guest category last year for playing Dr. Jack Abbott on the inaugural season of HBO Max‘s medical series.
Hatosy was eligible to compete as a guest star once again, since he only showed up in six of the 15 episodes for Season 2. Per Emmy rules, guest stars must appear in fewer than 50% of the eligible episodes; his final total was 40%.
With Hatosy submitted as a supporting actor, he’s now going head-to-head-to-head with co-stars Patrick Ball (Dr. Frank Langdon) and Gerran Howell (Dr. Dennis Whitaker). While those two weren’t among The Pitt‘s 13 nominations for Season 1, they are both major contenders this year as the drama is expected to dominate the Emmys.
Emmy Awards Nominations 2026
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Simon Pegg
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John Cho
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SANTA MONICA, CALIFORNIA – SEPTEMBER 27: Jessie T. Usher attends the Los Angeles screening of Paramount’s “Smile” at Aero Theatre on September 27, 2022 in Santa Monica, California. (Photo by Amy Sussman/Getty Images)
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SANTA MONICA, CALIFORNIA – MARCH 09: Alfred Molina attends the 24th CDGA (Costume Designers Guild Awards) on March 09, 2022 in Santa Monica, California.
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LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA – JANUARY 09: Finn Bennett attends the Los Angeles premiere of Warner Bros.’ “True Detective: Night Country” at Paramount Theatre on January 09, 2024 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Monica Schipper/Getty Images)
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LONDON, ENGLAND – JANUARY 31: Daniel Ings attends the Vanity Fair EE BAFTA Rising Star Party at Pavyllon London on January 31, 2024 in London, England. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)
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Clarke Peters
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Denis O’Hare
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Bertie Carvel
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SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA – DECEMBER 09: Park Sung-hoon attends the global premiere of “Squid Game Season 2” on December 09, 2024 in Seoul, South Korea. (Photo by Chung Sung-Jun/Getty Images)
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Anders Holm
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MONTE-CARLO, MONACO – JUNE 17: Matthew Fox and Taylor Fay attend the opening ceremony during the 61st Monte Carlo TV Festival on June 17, 2022 in Monte-Carlo, Monaco. (Photo by Pascal Le Segretain/Getty Images)
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PARIS, FRANCE – OCTOBER 24: Alex Lawther attends the “The French Dispatch” – Paris Gala Screening at Cinema UGC Normandie on October 24, 2021 in Paris, France. (Photo by Pascal Le Segretain/Getty Images)
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NEW YORK, NEW YORK – MAY 13: Ashton Kutcher attends the 2025 Disney Upfront at Javits Center on May 13, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Arturo Holmes/Getty Images)
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Anthony Ramos
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LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA – NOVEMBER 13: Laz Alonso attends The Critics Choice Association’s 2nd Annual Celebration of Latino Cinema & Television, proudly supported by GreenSlate at Fairmont Century Plaza on November 13, 2022 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Natasha Campos/Getty Images for GreenSlate)
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LONDON, ENGLAND – MARCH 22: Luke Newton attends the “Bridgerton” Series 2 World Premiere at Tate Modern on March 22, 2022 in London, England. (Photo by Lia Toby/Getty Images)
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LONDON, ENGLAND – MARCH 20: David Gyasi attends the Jameson Empire Awards 2016 at The Grosvenor House Hotel on March 20, 2016 in London, England. (Photo by Jeff Spicer/Getty Images)
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LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA – FEBRUARY 23: Rory Kinnear attends the 31st annual Screen Actors Guild Awards at Shrine Auditorium and Expo Hall on February 23, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Rodin Eckenroth/Getty Images)
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NEW YORK, NY – NOVEMBER 18: Actors Louisa Krause and Aaron Clifton Moten attend The 2013 Steinberg Playwright “Mimi” Awards presented by The Harold and Mimi Steinberg Charitable Trust at Lincoln Center Theater on November 18, 2013 in New York City. (Photo by Brian Ach/Getty Images for The Harold And Mimi Steinberg Charitable Trust)
The Harold And Mimi Steinberg Charitable Trust
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LONDON, ENGLAND – NOVEMBER 15: Fionn O’Shea arrives at the GQ Men Of The Year Awards 2023 at The Royal Opera House on November 15, 2023 in London, England. (Photo by Gareth Cattermole/Getty Images)
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PARIS, FRANCE – OCTOBER 02: Nikolaj Coster-Waldau poses backstage prior to the “Le Defile Walk Your Worth” By L’Oreal Paris Womenswear Spring/Summer 2023 show as part of Paris Fashion Week on October 02, 2022 in Paris, France. (Photo by Francois Durand/Getty Images for L’Oréal Paris)
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Patrick J Adams
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Bobby Cannavale
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Gil Birmingham
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LOS ANGELES, CA – JANUARY 06: Actor Sam Anderson (left) arrives to the Season 5 premiere of FX’s “Justified” at DGA Theater on January 6, 2014 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Alberto E. Rodriguez/Getty Images)
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Jason Ritter
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ATLANTA, GEORGIA – FEBRUARY 29: Michael Imperioli attends SCAD aTVfest 2020 – “Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt For The Bone Collector” Press Junket on February 29, 2020 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Vivien Killilea/Getty Images for SCAD aTVfest 2020)
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WEST HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA – DECEMBER 08: Ren Watabe attends Apple TV+ New Series “Monarch: Legacy Of Monsters” Photo Call at The London West Hollywood at Beverly Hills on December 08, 2023 in West Hollywood, California. (Photo by Jon Kopaloff/Getty Images)
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HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA – APRIL 12: Nestor Carbonell at PaleyFest LA 2024 – “The Morning Show” at Dolby Theatre on April 12, 2024 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Kevin Winter/Getty Images)
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William Jackson Harper
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Aaron Pierre
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John Slattery
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TORONTO, ONTARIO – SEPTEMBER 12: Simon Baker attends the “Limbo” premiere during the 2023 Toronto International Film Festival at Scotiabank Theatre on September 12, 2023 in Toronto, Ontario. (Photo by Brian de Rivera Simon/Getty Images)
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Ball currently owns the No. 1 position for Best Drama Supporting Actor with a 95% chance of receiving his first career nomination. Howell is in sixth place at 69%. In between them are two-time champ Billy Crudup (The Morning Show) at 93%, Tom Pelphrey (Task) at 91%, Jack Lowden (Slow Horses) at 87%, and Carlos-Manuel Vesga (Pluribus) at 76%. Hatosy will undoubtedly rise in the Emmy odds when more experts, editors, and users update their predictions. The number of nominees varies based on the number of submissions, but Gold Derby expects a final field of seven.
A single show nabbing three slots in the Best Drama Supporting Actor race is quite commonplace at the Emmy Awards. It happened twice last year for Severance (winner Tramell Tillman, Zach Cherry, and John Turturro) and The White Lotus (Walton Goggins, Jason Isaacs, and Sam Rockwell). The year before, The Morning Show nabbed a trio of bids (winner Crudup, Mark Duplass, and Jon Hamm). It’s quite possible that Hatosy, Ball, and Howell could all find themselves recognized for The Pitt.
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Hatosy held the top spot for Best Drama Guest Actor since Gold Derby began tracking the prediction data. Now that he’s vacating the race, the new odds leader is Jonathan Pryce (Slow Horses) at 89%. The other projected guest-star nominees are the late Eric Dane (Euphoria) at 80%, Jeff Kober (The Pitt) at 79%, Jeff Hiller (Pluribus) at 79%, and Giancarlo Esposito (The Boys) at 50%.
“In the words of my 7-year-old, holy s–t,” Hatosy said last year after prevailing at the Creative Arts Emmys. He claimed victory in Best Drama Guest Actor over fellow nominees Esposito, Jeffrey Wright (The Last of Us), Scott Glenn (The White Lotus), Joe Pantoliano (The Last of Us), and Forest Whitaker (Andor).
The Pitt also won Emmys last year for Best Drama Series, Best Drama Actor (Noah Wyle), Best Drama Supporting Actress (Katherine LaNasa), and Best Drama Casting. The 2026 nominations will be announced July 8.
